4/5 Oracle/ITA Ranking Projections

North Carolina stays at No. 1 for the third week in a row despite losing to Wake Forest on Sunday. UNC's win over Virginia was enough to keep it up top while TCU and Virginia remain at No. 2 and No. 3. UCLA moves up one spot to No. 4 after picking up wins over Cal and Stanford while Ohio State falls one spot to No. 5 despite winning both its weekend matches.

Georgia moves up one spot to No. 6 after picking up road wins at Texas A&M and LSU while Wake Forest drops one spot to No. 7 despite winning on the road over Virginia Tech and No. 1 North Carolina. I know what everyone is thinking - how can you beat the No. 1 team and drop? Correction: Wake will stay at 6 with 58.41 and UGA 7 - my sheet didn't count the road bonus from Wake's win at UNC.

This set of rankings used each team's eight best wins and while the win over UNC was great there were still four teams with better wins than Wake (see chart below rankings). The reason Wake is behind both Ohio State and Georgia is because of its four losses, two of which were to teams ranked outside the top 20 (#21 Texas and #42 NC State). The NC State loss came during the weekend when both Skander Mansouri and Petros Chrysochos were out of the country playing Davis Cup so that loss is the anchor that's keeping them from floating to the top.

USC moves up one spot to No. 8 after beating Cal and Stanford while Oklahoma surges up nine spots to No. 9 after winning at No. 17 South Florida and No. 22 Florida State. Texas A&M holds on to the No. 10 spot by the slimmest of margins over Texas Tech.

I also listed what the top 10 would look like if they just went strictly off each team's eight best wins with losses removed from the equation.


Cal remains No. 1 on the women's side while North Carolina jumps up to No. 2 with Ohio State dropping down to No. 3. UNC's win over Duke last Tuesday was enough to push them past the Buckeyes.

Georgia, Vanderbilt, Florida, and Miami remain at 4, 5, 6, and 7 while Duke and South Carolina swap spots at No. 8 and No. 10 after Duke won at Virginia after South Carolina got beat by Texas A&M. Pepperdine remains at No. 9 after beating St. Mary's and Pacific over the weekend.

Texas A&M made a nice jump from No. 25 to No. 18 after picking up a road win at South Carolina and TCU should move up roughly 8 spots from No. 35 to No. 27 after picking up two ranked wins last week over Kansas and Louisiana Tech.

Each of the projected top 18 teams had all eight countable wins over ranked opponents. Schools that have an * beside the school name have less than eight ranked wins so I had to do some guesswork on where the unranked wins fall in the rankings.

4/5/16 Men's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	North Carolina	73.43	1
2	TCU	69.05	2
3	Virginia	68.45	3
4	UCLA	67.84	5
5	Ohio State	65.41	4
6	Wake Forest	58.41	6
7	Georgia	58.07	7
8	USC	54.52	9
9	Oklahoma	51.78	18
10	Texas A&M	50.54	10
11	Texas Tech	50.38	12
12	Oklahoma State	50.28	8
13	Northwestern	49.23	13
14	Florida	48.83	11
15	Illinois	44.27	15
16	Arkansas	44.05	14
17	Texas	40.33	21
18	Tulsa*	39.77	24
19	California*	38.29	16
20	Kentucky	37.71	19
21	Michigan	37.04	20
22	South Florida	36.34	17
23	Florida State*	34.61	22
24	Mississippi State	32.93	25
25	Columbia	32.06	28
26	SMU*	32.03	27
27	Tulane*	28.87	23
28	Rice*	27.51	26
29	San Diego	25.77	32
30	Washington*	24.59	30
31	Georgia Tech	23.64	31
32	Alabama	23.51	41
33	Penn State*	22.90	33
34	Memphis*	22.85	34
35	Ole Miss*	22.70	37
36	Oregon*	20.09	39
37	Princeton*	19.44	34
38	NC State*	19.41	42
39	Virginia Tech*	19.35	45
40	Dartmouth*	19.29	38
41	Stanford*	19.25	36
42	LSU*	19.18	44
43	Vanderbilt*	18.87	43
44	Wisconsin*	18.69	30
45	Baylor*	16.91	38

* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75


Rankings Chart That Excludes All Losses

Rank	School	8 Best Wins
1	North Carolina	638.80
2	TCU	586.90
3	Virginia	581.80
4	UCLA	556.30
5	Wake Forest	550.20
6	Ohio State	542.90
7	Georgia	493.60
8	USC	490.70
9	Texas A&M	490.20
10	Oklahoma	476.40

4/5/16 Women's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	Cal	79.23	1
2	North Carolina	70.48	3
3	Ohio State	67.49	2
4	Georgia	66.21	4
5	Vanderbilt	64.00	5
6	Florida	63.13	6
7	Miami	59.47	7
8	Duke	54.12	10
9	Pepperdine	53.48	9
10	South Carolina	52.65	8
11	Michigan	47.11	11
12	Texas Tech	42.95	13
13	Auburn	41.53	14
14	Oklahoma State	40.83	17
15	Virginia	39.30	12
16	LSU	38.60	15
17	Georgia Tech	38.55	16
18	Texas A&M	38.39	25
19	Stanford*	34.80	18
20	Wake Forest*	31.51	19
21	Kentucky	31.43	23
22	Wichita State	30.90	22
23	UCLA	30.85	20
24	USC	30.34	27
25	Mississippi State*	30.30	28
26	Arizona State	30.15	26
27	TCU*	29.31	35
28	Arkansas	29.14	24
29	Tulsa*	28.04	21
30	Virginia Tech*	27.86	31
31	Clemson*	25.35	29
32	Syracuse*	23.38	40
33	Columbia*	22.47	37
34	Kansas*	22.32	30
35	Texas*	21.64	34
36	NC State*	18.21	42
37	William & Mary*	17.07	32
38	Denver*	16.81	33
39	Ole Miss*	16.57	36
40	Northwestern*	16.48	41
41	Oregon*	16.48	38
42	South Alabama*	15.82	43
43	Fresno State*	15.74	39
44	Notre Dame*	14.84	44
45	Florida International*	12.34	46

* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75


Rankings Chart That Excludes All Losses

Rank	School	8 Best Wins
1	Cal	633.80
2	North Carolina	592.00
3	Ohio State	560.20
4	Vanderbilt	550.40
5	Georgia	542.90
6	South Carolina	537.00
7	Florida	536.60
8	Miami	529.30
9	Duke	481.70
10	Pepperdine	438.50