3/29 Oracle/ITA Ranking Projections

North Carolina stays at No. 1 for the second week in a row but TCU leapfrogs past Virginia for No. 2 after its win over Northwestern on Tuesday. This week's rankings used each teams seven best wins with UNC's six top-20 wins still by far the best. Below my rankings chart I also did a top 10 that is sorted by each team's seven best wins with losses not in the equation.

Ohio State stays at No. 4 after picking up a road win at Michigan State and a nice home win over Michigan. UCLA moves back up to No. 5 after picking up road wins at Oregon and Washington in conjunction with last week's No. 5 Oklahoma State losing to SMU which dropped the Cowboys down to No. 8. Wake Forest jumps up from No. 13 to No. 6 after its road win at Florida State plus a few of its other top wins moved up a few spots last week. Georgia rises from No. 11 to No. 7 after a win over Kentucky while USC falls one spots from No. 8 to No. 9 after a win at Oregon and a loss at Washington. Texas A&M falls from No. 7 to No. 10 after its Friday loss at Vanderbilt.

Florida continues its climb up the charts and will come in at No. 11 after winning at Mississippi State and at Alabama. Arkansas makes a nice jump up to No. 14 after winning at Texas and beating Ole Miss with both of those happening for the first time since 1988.

Rice will rise roughly 14 spots from No. 40 to No. 26 after its weekend sweep of Texas Tech, Drake, and William & Mary. SMU should come up 9 spots to No. 27 after its 4-0 shellacking of Oklahoma State. Washington should rise roughly 10 spots up to No. 29 after a top 10 win over USC.

Oregon, Ole Miss, and Baylor are entering the danger zone after dropping to No. 37, No. 38, and No. 39. Oregon went 0-3 last week losing heartbreakers to Drake and USC in addition to falling to UCLA. Ole Miss and Baylor have each lost four straight and the schedule ahead isn't very friendly.

Everyone in my projected top 20 has at least seven ranked though not many past there do. Schools that have an * beside the school name have less than seven ranked wins so I had to do some guesswork on where the unranked wins fall in the rankings.

As the number of countable wins rises, one result either good or bad, won't have the same impact that it would have had earlier in the season when only five results were counted. I mention this so you'll understand why SMU, Rice, and others didn't move up as much as you might have thought after their big top 10 wins.

FYI, tonight's TCU/Texas A&M match won't be factored into these rankings because all results have to be entered in by 5pm ET and this match won't start until 6pm CT. The Mississippi State/Auburn match, which was pushed back from yesterday, will count this week so I kind of assumed the result in that match.


The undefeated Cal Bears remain at No. 1 on the women's side while Ohio State stays at No. 2. North Carolina and Georgia flip flop places for I believe the sixth week in a row with UNC at No. 3 and UGA at No. 4. North Carolina has almost a five point lead on Georgia due to its wins being a good bit better plus Georgia lost to Vanderbilt over the week. Speaking of Vanderbilt they remain at No. 5 but are nipping on Georgia's heels after beating the Bulldogs on Saturday.

Florida moves up one spot to No. 6 after winning at South Carolina with Miami dropping one spot to No. 7 despite a win over No. 12 Virginia. Pepperdine moves up three spots to No. 8 after its first-ever win over Stanford while South Carolina slides down one spot to No. 9 after its loss to Florida. Duke holds firm at No. 10 after a road win over Wake Forest.

Georgia Tech makes a nice move up to No. 16 after wins over Clemson and Pitt plus UCLA makes a nice jump up from No. 32 to No. 20 after picking up wins over Fresno State and Oregon.

I also listed what the top 10 would look like if they just went strictly off each team's seven best wins with losses removed from the equation.

3/29/16 Men's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	North Carolina	77.30	1
2	TCU	72.19	3
3	Virginia	70.21	2
4	Ohio State	68.30	4
5	UCLA	66.61	6
6	Wake Forest	55.43	13
7	Georgia	53.82	11
8	Oklahoma State	52.95	5
9	USC	52.30	8
10	Texas A&M	51.99	7
11	Florida	50.99	16
12	Texas Tech	50.22	9
13	Northwestern	48.93	12
14	Arkansas	47.40	21
15	Illinois	46.35	10
16	California	44.50	15
17	South Florida	43.67	17
18	Oklahoma	43.21	14
19	Kentucky	40.08	18
20	Michigan	37.47	23
21	Texas	36.71	19
22	Florida State*	35.41	20
23	Tulane	31.99	22
24	Tulsa*	29.92	27
25	Mississippi State	29.44	24
26	Rice*	28.19	40
27	SMU*	28.10	36
28	Columbia*	26.26	29
29	Washington*	25.24	39
30	Wisconsin*	23.94	37
31	Georgia Tech	23.63	32
32	San Diego	23.40	31
33	Penn State*	23.34	25
34	Princeton*	22.18	35
35	Memphis*	21.51	33
36	Stanford*	21.41	43
37	Oregon*	21.00	26
38	Ole Miss*	20.98	28
39	Baylor*	20.85	30
40	Dartmouth*	20.70	42
41	NC State*	20.65	34
42	Alabama*	19.99	41
43	Vanderbilt*	18.37	49
44	LSU*	17.75	48
45	Virginia Tech*	17.07	45

* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75

Rank	School	7 Best Wins
1	North Carolina	572.00
2	TCU	534.20
3	Virginia	512.50
4	Ohio State	505.40
5	UCLA	479.60
6	Wake Forest	460.10
7	Texas A&M	452.30
8	USC	434.10
9	Oklahoma State	413.00
10	Georgia	409.00

3/29/16 Women's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	Cal	79.51	1
2	Ohio State	71.79	2
3	North Carolina	71.41	4
4	Georgia	66.72	3
5	Vanderbilt	65.92	5
6	Florida	62.23	7
7	Miami	59.31	6
8	Pepperdine	55.21	11
9	South Carolina	55.14	8
10	Duke	54.68	10
11	Michigan	48.83	9
12	Virginia	45.07	12
13	Texas Tech	43.77	13
14	Auburn	43.37	16
15	LSU	40.25	15
16	Georgia Tech	37.61	22
17	Oklahoma State	36.19	18
18	Stanford	35.32	20
19	Wake Forest*	33.21	14
20	UCLA	32.35	32
21	Wichita State	31.74	21
22	Tulsa*	31.67	28
23	Kentucky	31.63	23
24	Arkansas	31.44	26
25	Texas A&M	31.28	17
26	USC	29.88	29
27	Arizona State*	29.29	19
28	Mississippi State*	27.07	27
29	Clemson*	26.49	25
30	Kansas*	24.95	24
31	Virginia Tech*	23.14	33
32	TCU*	21.35	30
33	William & Mary*	20.59	37
34	Denver*	20.47	31
35	Texas*	20.35	34
36	Ole Miss*	19.40	39
37	Columbia*	18.44	40
38	Oregon*	18.36	35
39	Fresno State*	17.17	38
40	Northwestern*	15.88	36
41	NC State*	15.83	43
42	Syracuse*	15.47	41
43	South Alabama*	15.42	45
44	Notre Dame*	13.75	42
45	New Mexico*	13.04	44

* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75

Rank	School	7 Best Wins
1	Cal	556.60
2	Ohio State	524.10
3	North Carolina	521.30
4	Vanderbilt	501.00
5	Georgia	480.40
6	South Carolina	479.70
7	Florida	466.70
8	Miami	462.60
9	Duke	426.50
10	Michigan	400.40