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Tuesday, March 15, 2016

3/15 Oracle/ITA Women's Rankings Release - Top 5 Profiles

California is at No. 1 for the second week in a row with Bears holding off No. 2 Ohio State by .37 points. North Carolina and Georgia swapped spots at No. 3 and No. 4 while Pepperdine rode the wave that was created by several of its best wins rising in the rankings.

South Carolina moved into the top 10 for the first time since 1983 after picking up wins last week over Vanderbilt and Kentucky.

Georgia Tech came up 15 spots from No. 34 to No. 19 after beating Wake Forest and Syracuse last week. Clemson was also a big riser coming up 21 spots from No. 42 to No. 21 after beating Syracuse and Florida State.

The following teams made double-digit increases versus the last rankings:
#5 Pepperdine (+12)
#19 Georgia Tech (+15)
#21 Clemson (+21)
#49 UT Arlington (+27 & then some)
#51 Utah (+12)
#54 Tennessee (+17)
#58 Washington State (+11)
#59 UNLV (+17 & then some)

The following teams made double-digit decreases versus the last rankings (still ranked):
#37 Ole Miss (-10)
#40 Syracuse (-10)
#42 NC State (-11)
#65 Washington (-16)
#66 Boston College (-12)
#67 TCU (-15)
#71 Old Dominion (-10)
#73 San Jose State (-15)

These 4 teams entered the rankings after being unranked and the reason why they moved up:
#49 UT Arlington - beat then #45 New Mexico and Penn
#59 UNLV - beat then #61 Old Dominion, BYU, and Boise State
#69 San Diego - beat St. Mary's CA plus previous win over Cal State Fullerton was elevated when CSF entered the rankings last week
#75 Penn - picked up a road win at then #55 Rice; lost at Texas and UT Arlington

These 4 teams dropped out of the rankings with last week's rankings in ( ):
Kansas State (65) - lost to Wichita State and Baylor
Cal State Fullerton (67) - lost at Nevada
Princeton (70) - was idle last week but previous win over Georgia State was downgraded after GSU fell 10 spots in the rankings.
Pitt (75) - previous win over West Virginia was downgraded when WVU dropped out of the rankings.

Here is the ITA's release which breaks it down by conference affiliation.


Below I'll breakdown the Top 5 looking at the 5 best wins that were used in the rankings this week along with other quality ranked wins. I also listed the point totals gained from the best wins and losses to come up with the computer score.  


Women's Top 5

California is No. 1 for the second week in a row after having both its matches with USC and UCLA get rained out. 
  • 5 Best Wins (399.7): #2 Ohio State, #3 North Carolina, #10 Virginia, #13 Florida, at #28 UCLA 
  • Other Quality Wins: at #25 Arizona State, at #48 USC, #65 Washington, at #59 Arizona
  • Losses (5.0): None
  • Computer Score:  399.7/5.0 = 79.94 (was 79.50)
  • What's Coming Up: #5 Pepperdine (3/19), #51 Utah (3/25), Colorado (3/26), 
  • Comments: The Bears have a big match on Saturday when it welcomes in #5 Pepperdine then after that the only real test will be when it faces Stanford twice in a two-week window. 

Ohio State stays at No. 2 just .37 behind California. The Buckeyes best wins are better than Cal's but the difference is the one loss. 
  • 5 Best Wins (405.8): #5 Pepperdine, at #6 Michigan, #7 Vanderbilt (2X), #24 Fresno State
  • Other Quality Wins: #19 Georgia Tech, #25 Arizona State, at #52 Baylor, at #67 TCU
  • Losses (5.1): #1 California
  • Computer Score:  405.8/5.1 = 79.57 (was 78.90)
  • What's Coming Up: at #12 Miami FL (3/16), at Wisconsin (3/18), Minnesota (3/20)
  • Comments: The Buckeyes biggest remaining test will take place on Wednesday when it faces #12 Miami in Coral Gables. I don't see anyone else in the Big Ten that can challenge Ohio State except for Michigan in the conference tournament. 

North Carolina moves up one spot from No. 4 to No. 3 after picking up ranked wins over Wake Forest and Pitt. UNC has five wins over top 16 opponents while UGA's five best wins are over top 28 opponents. 
  • 5 Best Wins (394.7): #4 Georgia, at #10 Virginia, #12 Miami, #14 Texas A&M, #18 LSU
  • Other Quality Wins: #23 Tulsa, #29 Wake Forest, #43 Alabama
  • Losses (5.3): #1 California, at #6 Michigan
  • Computer Score:  394.7/5.4 = 74.47 (was 71.08)
  • What's Coming Up: at #40 Syracuse (3/24), #38 Notre Dame (3/26), at #8 Duke (3/29)
  • Comments: The Tar Heels toughest remaining matches are all on the road with Duke, Georgia Tech, and Clemson coming up in the next month.

Georgia falls one spot from No. 3 to No. 4 despite picking up ranked wins over Auburn and Alabama. Georgia's wins over Georgia Tech and Clemson will push the Ole Miss win off its best wins list for next week. 
  • 5 Best Wins (367.9): #6 Michigan, #11 Texas Tech, #15 Auburn, at #22 Mississippi State, at #37 Ole Miss
  • Other Quality Wins: at #19 Georgia Tech, #21 Clemson, #43 Alabama
  • Losses (5.1): #3 North Carolina
  • Computer Score:  367.9/5.1 = 72.14 (was 73.00)
  • What's Coming Up: #10 Virginia (3/17), #54 Tennessee (3/19), at #26 Kentucky (3/24), at #7 Vanderbilt (3/26)
  • Comments: The Dawgs take a break from a rugged SEC schedule by welcoming in #10 Virginia on Thursday. There are a slew of tough ones left on Georgia's schedule so they'll have no choice but to take them one at a time. 

Pepperdine makes the big move up from No. 17 to No. 5 after beating No. 31 NC State plus almost all its best wins made strong improvements. 
  • 5 Best Wins (294.7): #15 Auburn, #25 Arizona State,  at #28 UCLA, #35 Texas, #42 NC State
  • Other Quality Wins: at #48 USC
  • Losses (5.1): #2 Ohio State 
  • Computer Score:  294.7/5.1 = 57.78 (was 36.25)
  • What's Coming Up: at #1 Cal (3/19), at #17 Stanford (3/21), Loyola Marymount (3/26)
  • Comments: The Waves have its two biggest remaining matches coming up this weekend when it visits the Bay Area to face #1 Cal and #17 Stanford. 


3/15 Oracle/ITA Women's Rankings

RankAvgSchoolPrevious Rank
179.94California1
279.57Ohio State University2
374.47North Carolina4
472.14University of Georgia3
557.78Pepperdine17
656.56University of Michigan6
755.64Vanderbilt University5
854.91Duke University8
953.59University of South Carolina12
1052.71University of Virginia10
1152.55Texas Tech University7
1250.44University of Miami (Florida)9
1350.36University of Florida18
1444.59Texas A&M University16
1543.72Auburn University11
1642.05Oklahoma State University13
1738.86Stanford23
1838.49LSU15
1937.66Georgia Tech34
2036.7Wichita State University14
2135.55Clemson University42
2233.63Mississippi State University28
2330.65University of Tulsa21
2428.95Fresno State20
2528.51Arizona State University26
2627.98University of Kentucky19
2727.48University of Kansas24
2826.56UCLA25
2925.12Wake Forest University22
3023.38University of Oregon36
3122.39University of Arkansas33
3222.25Virginia Tech29
3321.83College of William and Mary37
3421.81University of Denver35
3521.37University of Texas at Austin32
3620.25Northwestern University39
3719.9University of Mississippi27
3819.8University of Notre Dame40
3918.8University of South Alabama41
4018.42Syracuse University30
4118.41Columbia University38
4217.03North Carolina State31
4317.01University of Alabama46
4415.64Dartmouth College44
4514.84Georgia State University53
4613.35Rice University55
4713.2University of New Mexico45
4813.13University of Southern California43
4912.88University of Texas at ArlingtonNR
5011.85University of Minnesota48
5111.22University of Utah63
5210.89Baylor University51
539.88Winthrop University56
549.51University of Tennessee71
559.44DePaul University47
569.23Indiana University-Bloomington50
579.22Florida International University (FIU)57
589.08Washington State University69
598.76UNLVNR
608.7Florida State University66
618.66Univ. of Missouri, Columbia60
628.64University of Illinois68
638.63Purdue University62
648.22University of Arizona59
658.18University of Washington49
667.96Boston College54
677.86TCU52
687.72Brown University74
697.63University of San DiegoNR
707.44Xavier University72
717.38Old Dominion University61
727.32Santa Clara University64
737.23San Jose State University58
746.75Troy University73
756.73University of PennsylvaniaNR

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