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Tuesday, March 29, 2016

3/29 Oracle/ITA Men's Rankings Release - Top 7 Profiles

North Carolina retained its top spot but TCU and Virginia swapped spots at No. 2 and No. 3. If TCU's win over Texas A&M would have counted in these rankings the Horned Frogs would have been the new No. 1. Ohio State is still at No. 4 while UCLA moves up to No. 5 after the previous No. 5 Oklahoma State was upset by SMU.

Wake Forest moved up seven spots to No. 6 after picking up a road win at Florida State while Georgia moved up four spots to No. 7 after beating Kentucky. Oklahoma State dropped three spots to No. 8 after losing to SMU while USC dropped one spot to No. 9 after losing at Washington. Texas A&M falls three spots to No. 10 after losing at Vanderbilt.

This set of rankings used each team's seven best wins and all losses while next week's rankings will use each's eight best wins.

Rice, Georgia State, Utah State, and William & Mary were the biggest upward movers last week. Rice rose 14 spots to No. 26 after beating Texas Tech, Drake, and William & Mary. Georgia State came up 12 spots to No. 52 after going 3-0 at the MT Shootout which included wins over Middle Tennessee State, UAB, and South Alabama. Utah State moved up 12 spots to No. 58 after winning at BYU while William & Mary also came up 12 spots to No. 62 after defeating Drake.

Oregon, New Mexico, and Ole Miss had the biggest drops. Oregon dropped 13 spots to No. 39 after losing a pair of 4-3 heartbreakers to Drake and USC plus it went down to UCLA. New Mexico dropped 10 spots to No. 70 after losing to unranked UNLV. Ole Miss dropped 9 spots to No. 37 after losing to Florida and Arkansas.

The following teams moved up at least 7 spots versus the last rankings - movement in ( ):
#6 Wake Forest (+7)
#14 Arkansas (+7)
#26 Rice (+14)
#27 SMU (+9)
#29 Washington (+10)
#30 Wisconsin (+7)
#36 Stanford (+7)
#50 Old Dominion (+12)
#52 Georgia State (+14)
#58 Utah State (+12)
#62 William & Mary (+12)


The following teams dropped down at least 7 spots versus the last rankings (still ranked):
#33 Penn State (-8)
#37 Ole Miss (-9)
#38 Baylor (-8)
#39 Oregon (-13)
#42 NC State (-8)
#66 BYU (-7)
#70 New Mexico (-10)


These 4 teams entered the rankings after being unranked and here is why they are now ranked
#68 Loyola Marymount - beat UC Santa Barbara and picked up a ranked road win over Utah State
#69 Boise State - picked up ranked road wins over UC Santa Barbara and Cal Poly
#74 UAB - won at Middle Tennessee State and also beat South Alabama (ranked 96-105)
#75 Duke - beat Louisville (ranked between 86-95) over the weekend and previous win at Miami was upgraded when Miami jumped into the rankings last week.

These 4 teams dropped out of the rankings with last week's rankings in ( ):
Utah (61) - lost to Cal and Stanford plus its ranked win over Penn was downgraded when the Quakers dropped 8 spots last week. Utah will re-enter the rankings next week with both LMU and Boise coming in this week - Utah beat them both.
Nebraska (71) - lost to New Mexico plus its ranked wins over Iowa and Lamar were downgraded when those teams dropped by 4 and 11 spots respectively
Penn (73) - was idle last week but its three ranked wins (Dartmouth/MTSU/New Mexico) all dropped in the rankings plus Penn only has five total wins and these rankings used each team's seven best wins
Western Michigan (75) - was idle last week but its ranked win over Purdue was downgraded when the Boilers dropped eight spots last week - that was enough to drop them out.

Interesting Notes:
  • Rice would have been No. 27 instead of No. 26 but it's loss to Texas A&M from a week ago still hadn't been keyed into the computer as of the deadline 
  • Pepperdine would have been No. 53 instead of No. 54 but it's Sunday win over North Florida didn't count towards its total due to a clerical error.
  • Illinois would have had a higher point total but its win over Purdue wasn't keyed into the computer prior to the 5pm ET Monday deadline - would have still been ranked No. 15 regardless.
  • It is the home team's responsibility to key a result into the computer regardless of who won. 

Here is the ITA's release which breaks down the rankings by conference affiliation.

Below I'll breakdown the team Top 7 looking at the 7 best wins that were used in the rankings this week along with other quality ranked wins. I also listed the point totals gained from the best wins and losses to come up with the computer score.  

North Carolina remains at after defeating Clemson and Virginia Tech.  
  • 7 Best Wins (572): at #2 Virginia, #4 Ohio State, #6 UCLA, #9 Texas Tech, #10 Illinois, #14 Oklahoma, at #34 NC State
  • Other Quality Wins: #34 NC State (2nd of 2 wins), #45 Virginia Tech, #49 Vanderbilt
  • Losses (7.4): at #20 Florida State
  • Computer Score:  572/7.4 = 77.30 (was 80.86)
  • What's Coming Up: Virginia (4/1), Wake Forest (4/3), at Notre Dame (4/8), at Boston College (4/10)
  • Comments: HUGE weekend coming up for UNC with #3 Virginia and #6 Wake Forest coming to town. 

TCU moves up to No. 2 after knocking off Northwestern. As I mentioned above TCU's Monday night win over Texas A&M won't be factored in until next week. 
  • 7 Best Wins (534.2): #5 Oklahoma State, #8 USC, #10 Illinois (2X +1 on road), #12 Northwestern, at #17 South Florida, #27 Tulsa
  • Other Quality Wins: #10 Texas A&M, #29 Columbia, at #37 Wisconsin, #42 Dartmouth, #43 Stanford
  • Losses (7.4): #2 Virginia, #15 California
  • Computer Score:  534.2/7.4 = 72.19 (was 69.88)
  • What's Coming Up: Rice/UT Arlington (4/1), Oklahoma (4/8), Oklahoma State (4/10)
  • Comments: TCU has played a tough schedule over the last few weeks but it'll be a tad easier this weekend though it can't overlook a Rice team that just stunned Texas Tech. 

Virginia falls back to No. 3 despite rolling over Notre Dame and Boston College last weekend. 
  • 7 Best Wins (512.5): #3 TCU, #6 UCLA, #13 Wake Forest, #14 Oklahoma, #18 Kentucky, #20 Florida State, #27 Tulsa
  • Other Quality Wins: #34 NC State, #31 San Diego, #45 Virginia Tech, #46 Notre Dame
  • Losses (7.3): #1 North Carolina, #10 Illinois
  • Computer Score:  512.5/7.3 = 70.21 (was 71.41)
  • What's Coming Up: at North Carolina (4/1), at Duke (4/3), at Florida (4/6), at Georgia Tech (4/8), at Clemson (4/10)
  • Comments:  Virginia has a chance to move up to No. 2 or possibly even No. 1 if it can win at North Carolina on Friday. 

Ohio State stays at No. 4 after blowing out Michigan State and Michigan. 
  • 7 Best Wins (505.4): #7 Texas A&M (2X), at #14 Oklahoma, #16 Florida, at #17 South Florida, #19 Texas, #23 Michigan
  • Other Quality Wins: #25 Penn State, #38 Baylor, #45 Virginia Tech, at #46 Notre Dame
  • Losses (7.4): #1 North Carolina, at #11 Georgia
  • Computer Score:  505.4/7.4 = 68.30 (was 66.05)
  • What's Coming Up: Iowa (4/1), Nebraska (4/3), at Kentucky (4/6), at Indiana (4/8), at Purdue (4/10)
  • Comments: The Buckeyes won't have any issues this weekend but a big road match awaits them next Wednesday when they go to Kentucky. 

UCLA moves up one spot to No. 5 after taking care of business on the road at Washington and Oregon.  
  • 7 Best Wins (479.6): #7 Texas A&M, #8 USC, #11 Georgia (2X), #26 Oregon, #31 San Diego, #32 Georgia Tech
  • Other Quality Wins: #36 SMU, at #39 Washington, at #43 Stanford, #59 BYU
  • Losses (7.2): #1 North Carolina, #2 Virginia
  • Computer Score:  479.6/7.2 = 66.61 (was 60.65)
  • What's Coming Up: Stanford (4/1), Cal (4/2), at Arizona (4/8), at Utah (4/10)
  • Comments: Big weekend coming up for the Bruins with both Cal and Stanford coming to town. UCLA will be favored in both matches and I'd be really surprised if they didn't win them both. 

Wake Forest moves up seven spots to No. 6 after picking up road wins at Miami and Florida State. 
  • 7 Best Wins (460.1): #8 USC, #9 Texas Tech, #14 Oklahoma (2X + 1 on road), at #20 Florida State, #32 Georgia Tech, #46 Notre Dame
  • Other Quality Wins: #52 Auburn, at #64 Miami, #65 South Carolina
  • Losses (8.3): #2 Virginia, #5 Oklahoma State, #19 Texas, #34 NC State
  • Computer Score:  460.1/8.3 = 55.43 (was 51.04)
  • What's Coming Up: at Virginia Tech (4/1), at North Carolina (4/3), Duke (4/9), at Virginia (4/15)
  • Comments: Several of Wake's best wins took ranking hits this week so the Demon Deacons will need to keep winning to avoid falling. Wake has two big road matches this weekend against VT and UNC and if UNC doesn't have everyone healthy then I wouldn't be surprised to see the upset. 

Georgia moves up four spot to No. 7 after picking up wins over Tennessee and Kentucky. 
  • 7 Best Wins (409): #4 Ohio State, #18 Kentucky, #24 Mississippi State, #29 Columbia, #32 Georgia Tech, #33 Memphis, #41 Alabama
  • Other Quality Wins: at #49 Vanderbilt, #51 UC Santa Barbara, #57 East Tennessee State, at #65 South Carolina 
  • Losses (7.6): #6 UCLA (2X), #9 Texas Tech
  • Computer Score:  409/7.6 = 53.82 (was 52.97)
  • What's Coming Up: at Texas A&M (4/1), at LSU (4/3), Florida (4/8), Auburn (4/10), at Arkansas (4/15), at Ole Miss (4/17)
  • Comments: Georgia has a tough next three weeks coming up with road trips to Texas A&M, LSU, Arkansas, and Ole Miss while Florida comes to Athens. Georgia has a chance to move into the top 5 if it can take care of business but winning away from home is never an easy task. Texas A&M has been a little banged up but they are still extremely tough at home. 


3/29 Oracle/ITA Men's Rankings


RankAvgSchoolPrevious Rank
177.3North Carolina1
272.19TCU3
370.21University of Virginia2
468.3Ohio State University4
566.61UCLA6
655.43Wake Forest University13
753.82University of Georgia11
852.95Oklahoma State University5
952.3University of Southern California8
1051.99Texas A&M University7
1150.99University of Florida16
1250.22Texas Tech University9
1348.93Northwestern University12
1447.4University of Arkansas21
1544.89University of Illinois10
1644.11California15
1743.67University of South Florida17
1843.21University of Oklahoma14
1940.08University of Kentucky18
2037.47University of Michigan23
2136.71University of Texas19
2235.24Florida State University20
2331.99Tulane University22
2430.3University of Tulsa27
2529.44Mississippi State University24
2629.02Rice University40
2728.52SMU36
2826.49Columbia University29
2925.24University of Washington39
3023.72University of Wisconsin37
3123.63Georgia Tech32
3223.4University of San Diego31
3323.34Penn State University25
3421.99Princeton University35
3521.87University of Memphis33
3621.66Stanford University43
3721.17University of Mississippi28
3820.85Baylor University30
3920.55University of Oregon26
4020.35Dartmouth College42
4120.14University of Alabama41
4220.1North Carolina State34
4318.37Vanderbilt University49
4417.92LSU48
4517.04Virginia Tech45
4616.82Drake University44
4716.39Harvard University50
4815.97University of Denver47
4915.1UC Santa Barbara51
5014.9Old Dominion University38
5113.85University of Notre Dame46
5212.82Georgia State University66
5312.27Purdue University54
5411.12Pepperdine53
5511.04Auburn University52
5610.76Cornell University55
5710.5East Tennessee State University57
5810.31Utah State University70
599.98University of South Carolina65
609.88University of Iowa56
619.71St. John's University58
629.6College of William and Mary74
639.38UNC Wilmington63
648.97Middle Tennessee State University62
658.92UC Davis69
668.7Brigham Young University59
678.3University of Miami (Florida)64
688.23Loyola Marymount UniversityNR
698.19Boise State UniversityNR
707.85University of New Mexico60
717.6Lamar University72
727.59University of the Pacific (California)68
737.08Cal Poly67
746.98UABNR
756.94Duke UniversityNR

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