3/22 Oracle/ITA Ranking Projections - New Men's #1

Virginia's stay at No. 1 was a short one with North Carolina surging back ahead this week. This week's rankings used each teams six best wins and UNC had six top-15 wins while Virginia had four top-15 wins. UNC also benefited when Florida State jumped in the rankings because that meant the loss to the Seminoles didn't hurt as much plus when UVA went to No. 1 last week that means the Heels road win over them counted that much more.

TCU, which won matches last week over Tulsa, Dartmouth, and Columbia, stays at No. 3 while Ohio State stays at No. 4 after winning at South Florida before falling to Georgia. Oklahoma State and UCLA swap spots for the second week in a row with the Cowboys moving back up to No. 5 after winning at Pepperdine last week while the Bruins were idle.

USC moves back into the top 10 at No. 8 after beating both Oklahoma and Baylor while Illinois moves up from No. 11 to No. 10 after beating Baylor as well. Northwestern drops from No. 7 to No. 12 due to several of its best wins dropping plus only two of the Wildcats best six wins are ranked inside the top 25.

Georgia makes the biggest jump inside the top 25 by rising from No. 19 to No. 11 after beating Ohio State on Sunday.  Columbia was a bigger mover as well coming up 11 spots from No. 39 to No. 28 with the Lions adding a ranked road win last week at SMU.

Ole Miss is expected to drop 10 spots after losing to Florida and unranked Auburn while Baylor will likely fall another 8 spots after losing to Illinois, USC, and Oklahoma.

Vanderbilt should be just inside the top 50 after beating both Kentucky and Tennessee on the road last weekend while Auburn will go from unranked to around 52 or 53.

Everyone in my projected top 15 has at least six ranked wins though only 12 other schools outside of the top 15 have the six wins. Schools that have an * beside the school name have less than six ranked wins so I had to do some guesswork on where the unranked wins fall in the rankings.


Cal stays at No. 1 on the women's side except it has some more breathing room this week with its margin over No. 2 Ohio State increasing from .37 to 8.81 due to Ohio State losing to Miami last week.

Georgia and North Carolina swap spots again at No. 3 and No. 4. Both have almost identical point in the win column but UNC has the one extra loss and that made the difference this week.

Vanderbilt will enter the top 5 at No. 5 after defeating Texas A&M and LSU last weekend while Miami comes up to No. 6 after its wins over Ohio State and Virginia Tech. Florida will rise from No. 13 to No. 7 after picking up road wins over Ole Miss and Mississippi State. South Carolina moves up one spot to No. 8 after the Gamecocks went 2-0 during their Mississippi swing.

Pepperdine will fall six spots to No. 11 after losing to No. 1 Cal coupled with the fact that the Waves sixth best win is over No. 48 USC (though that will improve next week).

Wake Forest will make a big jump into the top 15 at No. 14 after the Demon Deacons picked up wins over Notre Dame and Virginia.

USC and TCU are the other two big risers with USC excepted to jump around 18 spots to No. 30 after the Trojans defeated Baylor and Oklahoma State. TCU will climb from No. 67 to roughly No. 32 after the Horned Frogs picked up a huge road win at Texas Tech plus added a win over UT Arlington.

Fresno State will drop roughly 10 spots to around No. 34 after the Bulldogs suffered a setback against unranked Harvard.

The one Monday match that could effect the rankings looks like it'll be washed out with Pepperdine and Stanford not having any luck up in the Bay Area.

3/22/16 Men's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	North Carolina	80.86	2
2	Virginia	71.41	1
3	TCU	69.88	3
4	Ohio State	66.05	4
5	Oklahoma State	65.69	6
6	UCLA	60.65	5
7	Texas A&M	60.39	9
8	USC	56.92	12
9	Texas Tech	55.54	8
10	Illinois	54.57	11
11	Georgia	52.97	19
12	Northwestern	51.16	7
13	Wake Forest	51.04	10
14	Oklahoma	47.84	15
15	California	46.99	14
16	Florida*	46.15	24
17	South Florida	42.50	16
18	Kentucky*	38.00	17
19	Texas	36.09	18
20	Arkansas*	34.25	13
21	Florida State*	33.88	23
22	Tulane	33.26	28
23	Michigan	31.82	20
24	Mississippi State	29.80	25
25	Penn State	28.08	27
26	Tulsa*	25.22	29
27	Oregon*	25.02	30
28	Columbia*	24.36	39
29	Baylor	24.05	21
30	San Diego	24.01	34
31	Georgia Tech	23.79	32
32	Ole Miss*	23.46	22
33	Memphis	23.10	26
34	Princeton	22.37	36
35	NC State*	22.35	33
36	SMU*	21.48	44
37	Wisconsin*	21.16	31
38	Washington*	19.78	45
39	Old Dominion*	19.33	37
40	Alabama*	18.75	43
41	Stanford*	17.72	42
42	Dartmouth*	17.72	35
43	Drake	17.67	41
44	Virginia Tech*	17.64	40
45	Rice*	17.07	38

* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75


3/22/16 Women's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	Cal	83.62	1
2	Ohio State	74.81	2
3	Georgia	72.51	4
4	North Carolina	70.43	3
5	Vanderbilt	61.64	7
6	Miami	58.63	12
7	Florida	56.69	13
8	South Carolina	54.80	9
9	Michigan	51.99	6
10	Duke	51.83	8
11	Pepperdine	49.65	5
12	Virginia	47.84	10
13	Texas Tech	43.75	11
14	Wake Forest	40.74	29
15	LSU	40.60	18
16	Auburn	39.13	15
17	Texas A&M	37.76	14
18	Oklahoma State	36.68	16
19	Arizona State	35.06	25
20	Stanford	34.53	17
21	Kentucky	32.19	26
22	Georgia Tech	32.11	19
23	Wichita State	31.76	20
24	Kansas*	29.45	27
25	Clemson*	29.10	21
26	Arkansas	28.91	31
27	Mississippi State*	28.51	22
28	Tulsa*	27.03	23
29	Denver*	24.99	34
30	USC*	24.79	48
31	UCLA	23.66	28
32	TCU*	23.31	67
33	Virginia Tech*	22.89	32
34	Fresno State*	21.68	24
35	Texas*	21.60	35
36	Oregon*	20.91	30
37	William & Mary*	20.72	33
38	Northwestern*	19.63	36
39	Ole Miss*	19.18	37
40	Syracuse*	16.96	40

* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75