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Monday, March 30, 2015

3/31 ITA Rankings Preview

Oklahoma is still on top as expected and has widened its margin to a 8.5 points over #2 Baylor thanks to a pair of top 10 wins last weekend over Texas and TCU.  This week's rankings use each team's top 7 best wins and then next week it'll go up to 8 and then the week after that it'll be at 9 and stay there until the end of the regular season. 

Viriginia makes the biggest jump inside the top 20 from 8 to 4 thanks to wins over North Carolina and Duke. Mississippi State should have the largest jump inside the top 40 as I see them coming up 8 spots from 34 to 26. Tulsa should also make a nice push jumping 7 spots from 27 to 20 after winning on the road at South Florida on Sunday.

Oklahoma State will take the biggest fall in the top 40 by dropping 8 spots from 22 to 30 after dropping a pair last week to Texas and TCU.  


Others Coming Up:
  • Texas A&M is up 1 from 9 to 8 after beat Ole Miss.
  • Virginia Tech is up 3 spots from 16 to 13 after knocking off North Carolina in a 4-3 thriller.  
  • Florida comes up 4 spots from 20 to 16 after picking a road win at Auburn.  
  • San Diego comes up 4 spots from 21 to 17 after beating San Francisco and seeing some of its best wins come up from the previous week.
  • North Carolina State comes up 4 spots from 38 to 34 after knocking off Wake Forest
  • Stanford comes up 5 spots from 43 to 38 after picking up wins over Utah and Arizona over the weekend.  

Others Going Down:
  • North Carolina drops 5 spots from 14 to 19 after losing to Virginia and Virginia Tech plus it only had 6 ranked wins so the 7th best win will be a decent drop off in points.
  • Northwestern drops 5 spots from 19 to 24 after losing to Rice and Ohio State.

Other Notes:
  • Rice will re-enter the rankings around 47 after upsetting Northwestern and also picking up wins over Texas A&M Corpus Christi and Louisiana Lafayette.  

As the number of best wins increases, since many teams don't have that many ranked wins a little more guesswork comes into play so it's possible that a team maybe off 1 slot or so.


3/31 ITA Rankings Projections (ones in bold moves at least 5 spots)

RankSchoolPointsPrevious
1Oklahoma86.361
2Baylor77.822
3Illinois77.653
4Virginia68.198
5Duke66.904
6Georgia66.385
7USC65.656
8Texas A&M 64.169
9Texas60.077
10TCU53.6310
11Ohio State49.8211
12Wake Forest46.0712
13Virginia Tech44.7916
14Ole Miss44.2913
15UCLA40.4815
16Florida37.6520
17San Diego36.5521
18Vanderbilt36.5217
19North Carolina*35.6814
20Tulsa*35.1527
21South Florida 34.7618
22Louisville32.8523
23Texas Tech32.5125
24Northwestern32.3219
25LSU*30.6724
26Mississippi State29.6134
27Princeton29.3728
28Minnesota*28.8431
29Columbia* 28.8126
30Oklahoma State28.0922
31Drake27.1529
32Florida State26.6232
33California26.5330
34NC State*23.6238
35Notre Dame*23.4237
36Harvard*22.0833
37San Diego State*20.3735
38Stanford*18.1443
39SMU*17.5836
40Denver*16.3441

* represents a team that has a win over someone that is ranked between 75-125 however it's tough to be 100% accurate pinpointing where in that range the team falls so the point totals may be off a bit. 

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