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Monday, March 2, 2015

3/3 ITA Rankings Preview

Oklahoma will return to the top of the rankings tomorrow and in fact they would have been back at #1 even if USC hadn't lost to Tulsa.  Unlike last weeks rankings which used each teams 4 best wins, the next 3 sets of rankings will use each teams 5 best wins.  OU has 5 Top 20 wins and just the 1 loss to a top 10 Texas A&M.

Duke keeps climbing due to 5 Top 20 wins including road wins at #3 Illinois and #20 Northwestern. As a reminder the rankings reward road wins by giving a 10% points bonus.

Baylor's win over Virginia yesterday bumped them up to #4 just ahead of Georgia.

USC would have been #3 had they beaten Tulsa with the drop due to USC's 5th best win being over #37 Stanford.  The Tulsa loss pushed them down from #3 to #6.



Florida comes up 5 spots, despite the loss to Georgia, mainly due to the other teams around them dropping.  Florida has 4 Top 40 wins and its 3 losses were all top Top 10 teams.

Wake Forest's drop is tied to its opponents rankings dropping.  3 of Wake's best 5 wins took big tumbles in the rankings last week and those are used as the base for this week's rankings.  Clemson (dropped from 35 to 46), South Carolina (dropped from 21 to 34), and Tennessee (dropped from 20 to 56)

Notre Dame drops 10 spots largely due to its road win over Kentucky be reduced from a win over a top 30 opponent to a win over someone outside the top 125.

Tulsa is the biggest riser going from 51 to 27 with the win on the road at #1 USC plus they added a road win over #53 Pepperdine.


3/3 ITA Rankings Projections

RankSchoolPointsPrevious
1Oklahoma80.252
2Duke77.064
3Illinois72.643
4Baylor68.855
5Georgia68.377
6USC61.751
7Texas60.006
8Ohio State58.578
9Ole Miss52.4010
10Texas A&M 46.049
11Virginia*40.2511
12Florida39.9317
13TCU*36.7315
14Vanderbilt35.8016
15Columbia 35.7213
16UCLA34.9221
17South Florida 34.8624
18Harvard34.8422
19North Carolina34.4819
20Northwestern33.6120
21Wake Forest33.1112
22California31.3118
23Drake29.4429
24Notre Dame28.8414
25Princeton27.4923
26Indiana26.2336
27Tulsa26.0751
28Florida State23.2326
29San Diego23.1230
30LSU*22.5031
31Texas Tech*21.5432
32NC State21.5227
33Minnesota19.7533
34Louisville19.6638
35Stanford18.7237
36Auburn18.5228
37Oklahoma State18.4125
38Dartmouth17.8050
39Penn17.1444
40Penn State15.5939

* represents a team that has a win over someone that is ranked between 75-125 however it's tough to be 100% accurate pinpointing where in that range the team falls.  

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