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Monday, March 23, 2015

3/24 ITA Rankings Preview

The gap at the top has widened as Oklahoma continues to add more and more top 10 wins.  Oklahoma now has 10 wins over teams in the Top 14 - that's a crazy figure and will likely keep OU at the top for a while. This week's rankings use each team's top 6 best wins and then next week it'll go up to 7 and then every subsequent week after that they add 1 more best win to get up to 9 by April 14th.

TCU will make the biggest jump within the top 20 as the Horned Frogs move up 8 spots from 18 to 10 after beating #2 Illinois on Monday and then defeating #48 Dartmouth on Saturday.  San Diego makes the biggest jump in the top 40 as it'll rise 9 spots from 30 to 21 on the strength of wins last weekend over #32 Princeton, #33 Drake, and #43 Denver.

Harvard will take the biggest fall in the top 40 by dropping 11 spots from 22 to 33 after losing to both Drake and Princeton out in San Diego.


Others Coming Up:
  • Baylor goes from 3 to 2 after the big win over USC.
  • Duke is back in the top 5 going from 6 to 4 after beating Wake Forest.
  • UCLA moves up 4 spots from 19 to 15 due to several of its top 6 wins moving up the week prior. 
  • Louisville moves up 4 spots from 26 to 22 after upsetting North Carolina.
  • Oklahoma State moves up 8 spots from 31 to 23 after winning at SMU and beating Dartmouth plus some of its best wins took big jumps with Tennessee (+15) and Tulsa (+9) more than helping out.  
  • Columbia moves up 5 spots from 29 to 24 on the strength of its win over Cal plus the rise of Tennessee from 55 to 40 last week.  
  • Princeton moves up 4 spots from 32 to 28 after beating Harvard and Indiana.  
  • Drake moves up 4 spots from 33 to 29 after beating Harvard and winning at San Diego State.
  • South Florida moves up 3 spots from 21 to 18 after beating Minnesota.

Others Going Down:
  • North Carolina drops 4 spots from 10 to 14 after losing at Louisville. 
  • Northwestern drops 5 spots from from 14 to 19 despite not playing last week.  The reason for the drop is 5 of its 6 best wins took a hit last week with Indiana (-9), Vanderbilt (-6), Columbia (-6), Cornell (-2), and Harvard (-1) all dropping in the rankings.  Only Arkansas (+8) came up.
  • Florida drops 5 spots from 15 to 20 after losing at Ole Miss on Sunday and seeing several of its best wins dropping last week.  South Carolina (-9), UCLA (-5), and Florida State (-3) all dropped and the increases by Mississippi State (+7) and Arkansas (+8) weren't enough to make up the gap. 
  • Tulsa drops 7 spots from 20 to 27 after losing to both USC and Cal.
  • Minnesota drops 6 spots from 25 to 31 after losing at South Florida plus its win over Drake was downgraded some after they dropped 8 spots last week.
  • Florida State drops 5 spots from 27 to 32 due to the drops by South Alabama (-11) and Troy (-4) and other teams below them (Princeton, Columbia, Oklahoma St, San Diego) all coming up with big wins
Notes: 
  • Texas A&M Corpus Christi should come up another 8-9 spots from 55 to around 46.


3/24 ITA Rankings Projections (ones in bold moves at least 5 spots)


RankSchoolPointsPrevious
1Oklahoma85.771
2Baylor77.193
3Illinois76.492
4Duke73.306
5Georgia70.275
6USC69.414
7Texas63.318
8Virginia59.909
9Texas A&M 59.357
10TCU54.5418
11Ohio State51.9311
12Wake Forest48.4112
13Ole Miss45.9913
14North Carolina43.4210
15UCLA42.3919
16Virginia Tech42.3816
17Vanderbilt39.3617
18South Florida 38.2321
19Northwestern37.8114
20Florida37.1215
21San Diego35.4830
22Louisville33.6526
23Oklahoma State33.3931
24Columbia* 31.5629
25Texas Tech31.1224
26LSU*31.0523
27Tulsa30.8820
28Princeton30.2332
29Drake29.7733
30California29.6628
31Minnesota28.7225
32Florida State28.6327
33Harvard*24.6022
34Mississippi State21.6735
35San Diego State20.6038
36Notre Dame*19.1336
37SMU18.4934
38NC State*18.2037
39Indiana*16.5439
40Denver*15.6943

* represents a team that has a win over someone that is ranked between 75-125 however it's tough to be 100% accurate pinpointing where in that range the team falls so the point totals may be off a bit.  

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