Final Women's Ranking Projections & Potential NCAA Selections & Seeds

64 teams qualify for the NCAA Tournament with that number comprised of 32 automatic qualifiers and 32 at-large bids (the AQs are at the bottom of the link). The at-large cut-off for the women's field ended up at 43 since there were 11 conference champions that were ranked in the top 43.

As with the men there are a few spots that are literally separated by tenths of a point and in the case of Texas Tech and Georgia Tech hundredths of a point. I'm showing that Texas Tech is .003 ahead of Georgia Tech for the No. 16 spot so with the difference being that small we just won't know for sure until the names are announced tomorrow.

It appears that Notre Dame will be the one to get the final at-large bid with ND ahead of Florida International by .41 in the final second run rankings. 

Here was the breakdown on the final two teams vying for that last at-large spot - you'll notice that Notre Dame's win are a good bit better but FIU only has 3 losses while Notre Dame has 13 and that's what made it so close. 

#43 Notre Dame (16.44)
9 Best Wins - #30 Clemson, #34 Virginia Tech, #54 Illinois, #56 Florida State, at #66 Boston College, at #74 Purdue, Indiana (76-85) , 2 sub 125 ranked teams
Losses (13) - #3 North Carolina, #7 Miami, #9 Michigan, #10 Duke, #12 Oklahoma State, #15 Virginia, #16 Georgia Tech (2X), #22 Arizona State, #26 Syracuse, #27 Wake Forest, #30 Clemson, #36 NC State

#44 Florida International (16.03)
9 Best Wins - at #46 Georgia State, #60 Brown, #65 UT Arlington, #67 Old Dominion, #72 Yale, at Marshall (76-85), VCU (86-95), at Central Florida (96-105, at Middle Tennessee State (116-125)
Losses - #37 Columbia, #41 Rice, Troy (86-95)

5/3 Oracle/ITA Women's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	Florida - IN	76.19	1
2	Cal	75.78	2
3	North Carolina - IN	74.09	3
4	Ohio State - IN	70.17	5
5	Georgia	69.53	4
6	Vanderbilt	65.90	6
7	Miami	61.17	7
8	Pepperdine* - IN	53.12	8
9	Duke	52.52	9
10	Michigan	51.47	11
11	Auburn	50.93	10
12	Oklahoma State - IN	49.11	15
13	South Carolina	47.64	13
14	Virginia	46.11	14
15	Stanford - IN	45.88	12
16	Texas Tech	42.23	19
17	Georgia Tech	42.23	16
18	LSU	39.98	17
19	Texas A&M	38.91	18
20	USC	36.63	20
21	Mississippi State	36.00	21
22	Kentucky	33.79	23
23	Arizona State	33.42	22
24	Texas*	30.92	24
25	Syracuse*	28.90	27
26	UCLA	28.21	25
27	Wake Forest*	28.14	26
28	Wichita State* - IN	26.96	28
29	Tulsa* - IN	26.75	29
30	Clemson*	24.36	31
31	Northwestern*	24.22	30
32	Kansas*	23.41	33
33	Arkansas*	22.50	32
34	Virginia Tech*	21.68	34
35	TCU*	21.51	35
36	NC State*	20.96	36
37	Columbia	20.83	37
38	William & Mary* - IN	19.40	38
39	Princeton - IN	19.24	40
40	Baylor*	18.93	39
41	Rice* - IN	18.80	41
42	Ole Miss*	18.11	42
43	Notre Dame*	16.44	43
44	Florida International*	16.03	46
45	Fresno State*	15.71	47
46	Georgia State* - IN	15.60	45
47	Denver* - IN	15.17	44
48	Dartmouth*	14.82	48
49	Penn*	14.05	49
50	UNLV* - IN	13.59	72
51	South Alabama*	13.01	55
52	Washington*	12.83	50
53	Alabama*	12.57	54
54	Illinois*	12.43	51
55	South Florida*	12.16	53
56	Florida State*	12.05	57
57	Harvard*	11.90	52
58	Oregon*	11.71	58
59	Cornell*	11.46	59
60	Brown*	11.19	60
61	New Mexico*	11.16	56
62	Utah*	10.73	61
63	Long Beach State*	10.38	62
64	Missouri*	9.34	63
65	UT Arlington*	8.91	64
66	Boston College*	8.72	66
67	Old Dominion*	8.56	67
68	DePaul*	8.36	70
69	North Texas*	8.26	68
70	Washington State*	8.26	65
71	Arizona*	8.04	69
72	Yale*	7.95	71
73	Xavier* - IN	7.75	NR
74	UC Santa Barbara* - IN	7.26	74
75	Purdue*	7.26	73

* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75

Based on these rankings these teams should be seeded in these buckets:

1-16 (not necessarily in order)

Florida
California
North Carolina
Ohio State
Georgia
Vanderbilt
Miami
Pepperdine
Duke
Michigan
Auburn
Oklahoma State
South Carolina
Virginia
Stanford
Texas Tech

17-32 

Georgia Tech
LSU
Texas A&M
USC
Mississippi State
Kentucky
Arizona State
Texas
Syracuse
UCLA
Wake Forest
Wichita State
Tulsa
Clemson
Northwestern
Kansas

33-48

Arkansas
Virginia Tech
TCU
NC State
Columbia
William & Mary
Princeton
Baylor
Rice
Ole Miss
Notre Dame
Georgia State
Denver
UNLV
Xavier
UC Santa Barbara

49-64

Winthrop

North Florida 

VCU

Idaho

Youngstown State

Quinnipiac

Ball State 

Fairleigh Dickinson

SIU Edwardsville

Boston University

East Tennessee State 

Texas A&M Corpus Christi
Albany
UTRGV
South Carolina State

Alcorn State

Since the tournament committee usually values H2H I think this may end up being your top 16 seeds and potential round of 16 pairings if each won their own regional.

Potential Round of 16

#1 California vs. #16 Texas Tech

#8 Pepperdine vs. #9 Michigan

#4 Ohio State vs. #13 South Carolina

#5 Georgia vs. #12 Oklahoma State

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #11 Auburn

#7 Miami  vs. #10 Duke

#3 North Carolina vs. #14 Virginia

#2 Florida vs. #15 Stanford

Notes:

#2 California has the H2H over #1 Florida
#10 Michigan has the H2H over #9 Duke