3/1 Ranking Projections - New #1

Another week and another set of changes - this week's rankings use each team's 5 best wins after last week's used the best 4.

TCU should rise up to #3 after winning on the road at Wisconsin and Illinois while Oklahoma State should come up to #5 after beating South Florida at the Blue Gray.  Northwestern will move up to #9 thanks to five wins over top 30 opponents while it has just the one loss to Illinois.

Texas and Baylor will both make leaps into the top 15 after Texas won at #5 Wake Forest and Baylor beat #17 Memphis. Michigan will be up to #19 after a weekend sweep over #22 Tulsa and #28 Washington. Arkansas should move into the top 30 after winning at #10 Oklahoma on Sunday while Old Dominion will be just outside the top 30 after winning on the road at #25 NC State. Princeton should make a healthy jump after beating Auburn plus its road win over Penn is worth more points after the Quakers jumped into the top 75 last week.

Oklahoma will fall eight spots to #18 after the loss to Arkansas while Texas Tech will drop from #6 to #10. Tech's loss to Wake Forest didn't really hurt them but its wins over Baylor and Florida were de-valued after each plummeted last week. Both of those teams came back up this week so Tech will most likely rise again next week.

Only 20 of the 40 schools in my projected top 40 have five wins over current top 75 opponents. Schools that have an * beside the school name have less than five ranked wins so I had to do some guesswork on where the unranked wins fall in the rankings. This set of rankings and the next two will use the best 5 wins so these numbers should get more accurate with each passing week.

On the women's side The Ohio State University will take over the #1 spot with the Buckeyes having four top 10 wins, including a road win at Michigan, and five total wins over top 25 opponents. Cal drops to #2, despite being undefeated, because it has three top 10 wins and five top 20 wins.

Wichita State drops up from #21 to #12 with the Shockers actually having six top 75 wins. Auburn will make a big jump up from #61 to #33 due to the Tigers upset win over Oklahoma State last weekend in Montgomery at the Blue Gray Classic.

Florida drops 8 spots after the close losses on the road to Cal and Stanford. The real reason for the drop is due to Florida's four ranked wins being over teams ranked between #34 and #45.

USC, which was ranked #38 last week, will almost certainly drop out due to only having 3 wins with each of those being over an unranked school.

Only 13 of the 40 schools in my projected top 40 have five wins over current top 75 opponents so for the other 27 a little guesswork was used so there could be a few that change spots by a point or two.

3/1/16 Men's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	North Carolina	93.84	1
2	Virginia	72.04	2
3	TCU	66.76	8
4	Ohio State	65.69	3
5	Oklahoma State	65.10	9
6	UCLA	64.10	4
7	Wake Forest	60.12	5
8	Texas A&M	58.55	7
9	Northwestern	54.34	15
10	Texas Tech	53.98	6
11	Illinois	52.20	11
12	USC	47.23	13
13	Texas	40.04	26
14	Baylor	40.00	34
15	Georgia*	39.26	16
16	South Florida	39.17	14
17	California*	38.16	12
18	Oklahoma*	36.13	10
19	Michigan	31.45	28
20	Tulsa	31.32	22
21	Oregon	30.88	20
22	Memphis*	30.75	17
23	Kentucky*	28.61	18
24	Penn State*	26.71	21
25	Ole Miss*	26.14	19
26	San Diego	24.67	24
27	Columbia*	24.59	23
28	Rice*	22.25	30
29	Arkansas*	22.18	51
30	Florida*	21.54	41
31	Old Dominion*	21.04	55
32	Iowa*	18.84	43
33	LSU*	17.97	37
34	Drake*	17.71	44
35	Stanford*	17.00	29
36	Princeton*	16.15	52
37	Harvard*	16.10	32
38	Notre Dame	15.94	47
39	Purdue*	15.75	39
40	Georgia Tech*	15.61	57

3/1/16 Women's Ranking Projections

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	Ohio State	84.47	2
2	Cal	80.40	1
3	North Carolina	70.38	6
4	Michigan	67.50	3
5	Texas Tech	57.06	8
6	Duke	55.88	9
7	Vanderbilt	54.58	4
8	Georgia*	54.35	5
9	LSU	43.93	12
10	Oklahoma State	43.69	11
11	Pepperdine	43.08	10
12	Wichita State	34.75	21
13	South Carolina*	34.23	17
14	Texas A&M*	32.09	20
15	Florida*	31.98	7
16	Virginia*	31.45	18
17	Tulsa	29.96	14
18	Kentucky*	28.90	15
19	Stanford*	27.32	16
20	Miami*	27.14	13
21	Clemson*	25.63	34
22	Fresno State*	24.19	26
23	Kansas*	22.62	23
24	Mississippi State*	22.19	25
25	Syracuse*	21.11	33
26	Ole Miss*	20.48	22
27	UCLA	20.34	29
28	William & Mary*	18.47	42
29	South Alabama*	18.39	39
30	Oregon*	18.32	35
31	Columbia*	17.98	50
32	Notre Dame*	16.76	30
33	Auburn*	16.55	61
34	Georgia Tech*	15.59	36
35	Dartmouth*	15.18	31
36	Alabama*	14.67	28
37	Arkansas*	14.48	48
38	Rice*	14.07	32
39	Washington*	13.15	19
40	Northwestern*	13.06	53

Mississippi State added a late result that may or may not get counted - if it does count then it would change #22 - #24.

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	Ohio State	84.47	2
2	Cal	80.40	1
3	North Carolina	70.38	6
4	Michigan	67.50	3
5	Texas Tech	57.06	8
6	Duke	55.88	9
7	Vanderbilt	54.58	4
8	Georgia*	54.35	5
9	LSU	43.93	12
10	Oklahoma State	43.69	11
11	Pepperdine	43.08	10
12	Wichita State	34.75	21
13	South Carolina*	34.23	17
14	Texas A&M*	32.09	20
15	Florida*	31.98	7
16	Virginia*	31.45	18
17	Tulsa	29.96	14
18	Kentucky*	28.90	15
19	Stanford*	27.32	16
20	Miami*	27.14	13
21	Clemson*	25.63	34
22	Mississippi State*	25.46	25
23	Fresno State*	24.19	26
24	Kansas*	22.62	23
25	Syracuse*	21.11	33
26	Ole Miss*	20.48	22
27	UCLA	20.34	29
28	William & Mary*	18.47	42
29	South Alabama*	18.39	39
30	Oregon*	18.32	35
31	Columbia*	17.98	50
32	Notre Dame*	16.76	30
33	Auburn*	16.55	61
34	Georgia Tech*	15.59	36
35	Dartmouth*	15.18	31
36	Alabama*	14.67	28
37	Arkansas*	14.48	48
38	Rice*	14.07	32
39	Washington*	13.15	19
40	Northwestern*	13.06	53