2/23 Rankings Projection

When the new ITA rankings come out tomorrow it'll be the first computer poll of the season after the ranking committee voted on all the polls up until this point. Usually there are some pretty big changes after the computers take over because teams are now ranked on what they've actually done as opposed to being ranked on its reputation.

Anyone with enough free time can calculate the rankings using the ITA's formula though I don't recommend it because it is highly timely consuming.  There's always a chance I made a calculation error somewhere but by and large they are usually pretty close. These 2/23 rankings utilize each team's 4 best wins (with best being determined by who gives you the most ranking points).  Road wins are given a 10% bonus so beating the 65th ranked team on the road would get your more points than beating the 64th ranked team at home.

It usually takes until the end of March before the rankings get leveled out because by then we're up to using the team's top 7 wins (goes up to top 9 before NCAA selections).  Many teams may have 4 or 5 good wins, which will keep them ranked higher for the first few rankings, but once they hit the meat of their schedule they'll likely take on a few more losses with not as many higher ranked wins. So what I'm saying is if your team is lower than you thought don't worry because if they take care of business against tougher competition they'll quickly climb.

Men's Movement:

Kentucky started off the year unranked before climbing to #47 last week - I see them making the jump all the way up to #19 this week after picking up a dominating road win over Notre Dame. Kentucky also has a road win over Duke which helped but that win won't look as good next week after Duke falls out of the top 50 this week.

Oregon should jump up to #21 due to its 11-1 record which includes 6 wins over ranked opponents. Oregon will likely be 14-1 when it goes to UCLA on March 25th though it may drop some in the next few rankings due to some of its ranked wins dropping as well.

Penn State should come up to #22 with 4 ranked wins though the Clemson win won't carry as much weight next week after it falls out of the top 75.

Minnesota, Pepperdine, and Louisville are a few teams that were ranked inside the top 50 recently that will fall out.

Women's Movement:

Ohio State and Michigan up to #2 and #3.
Syracuse coming up 35 spots from 62 to 27.
Kansas coming up 30 spots from 54 to 24.
Tulsa coming up 20 spots from 34 to 14.
South Carolina coming up 20 spots from 37 to 17.
Washington coming up 14 spots from 33 to 19.
Clemson dropping 16 spots from 21 to 37
USC dropping from #11 to out of the top 40 - probably around 42 or so.

I only ran the numbers on about 60 teams so it's possible that someone I didn't run the numbers on could creep into the top 40. As the season goes on I'll add more to try and get closer to the top 75.

MEN

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	North Carolina	94.05	1
2	Virginia	84.88	2
3	Ohio State	73.90	6
4	UCLA	71.43	4
5	Wake Forest	66.86	5
6	Texas Tech	65.37	10
7	Texas A&M	65.20	7
8	TCU	62.00	3
9	Oklahoma State	60.59	15
10	California	53.00	18
11	Illinois	51.28	12
12	South Florida	50.21	14
13	Oklahoma	49.91	8
14	USC	49.76	9
15	Northwestern	48.81	T20
16	Georgia	45.23	11
17	Memphis	42.67	28
18	Ole Miss	33.73	19
19	Kentucky	33.56	47
20	Columbia	31.25	16
21	Oregon	31.16	37
22	Penn State	30.80	44
23	Tulsa	30.55	29
24	San Diego	29.98	17
25	NC State	28.13	30
26	Texas	26.56	24
27	UC Santa Barbara	26.53	42
28	Rice	26.47	49
29	Baylor	26.20	13
30	Michigan	26.00	T45
31	Stanford	25.56	22
32	Florida State	25.33	25
33	Washington	24.29	48
34	Harvard	23.50	36
35	Tulane	23.38	27
36	Wisconsin	22.43	T56
37	Dartmouth	21.49	40
38	LSU*	20.98	T33
39	Florida	19.95	23
40	Purdue	18.02	64

WOMEN

Rank	School	Points	Previous
1	Cal	88.63	1
2	Ohio State	81.27	5
3	Michigan	71.43	8
4	Vanderbilt	70.62	6
5	Georgia	69.22	4
6	North Carolina	67.21	2
7	Florida	59.65	3
8	Texas Tech	58.78	10
9	Duke	57.05	7
10	Pepperdine	52.07	T15
11	Oklahoma State	47.23	14
12	LSU	42.28	19
13	Miami	41.52	12
14	Tulsa	40.85	34
15	Kentucky	33.86	20
16	Stanford	33.70	13
17	South Carolina	33.32	37
18	Virginia	32.32	9
19	Washington	31.94	33
20	Ole Miss	31.90	18
21	Texas A&M	31.16	T15
22	Wichita State	28.72	31
23	Arizona State	28.37	27
24	Kansas	26.00	T54
25	Mississippi State	25.24	25
26	Fresno State	25.21	28
27	Syracuse	24.10	62
28	UCLA	24.00	22
29	Alabama*	23.04	17
30	Wake Forest	23.00	43
31	Notre Dame	21.08	32
32	Arkansas	19.85	42
33	Dartmouth	18.92	41
34	Rice	18.85	29
35	Oregon	18.35	46
36	Arizona	18.18	T54
37	Clemson*	17.08	21
38	Columbia	16.93	50
39	Florida State	16.02	36
40	Georgia Tech	16.02	24

*means a team doesn't have 4 wins yet

Team and Singles/Doubles Demo 

TEAM DEMO

SINGLES DEMO