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Wednesday, August 5, 2015

Zoo Boys 18 - Round 5 Results

It was a pretty straightforward Round of 16 in Kalamazoo on Wednesday as the higher seed in the Boys 18 draw won each of the 8 matches with 6 of those going in straight sets.

#5 Michael Mmoh (2016 Pro) was the only high seed that had to come back from a set down as he dispatched #20 John McNally (2017 uncommitted) 4-6, 6-4, 6-4.

#12 Eduardo Nava (2015 uncommitted) had the shortest match of the day as his opponent #22 Brandon Holt (2016 USC commit) retired with a hamstring injury after just 3 games were completed.

According to TennisRecruiting.Net's prediction formula the only surprise winner was #7 Alex Rybakov who was just given a 26% chance of winning his match against Logan Smith.  Taylor Fritz had a 63% chance of winning with the 6 other winners having a winning probability of greater than 85%.

TRN shows the Fritz/Mmoh quarterfinal as a toss-up with Mmoh the slight favorite at 51%. They also show Kozlov and Paul as good size favorites and Tiafoe favored over Opelka.

Boys 18 Round of 16 Results:
#1 Frances Tiafoe def. #10 Nathan Ponwith 6-2, 6-2
#6 Reilly Opelka def. #30 Nathan Perrone 6-4, 4-6, 6-3
#4 Tommy Paul def. #11 Oliver Crawford 7-6(0), 6-2
#7 Alex Rybakov def. Logan Smith 6-4, 7-6(5)
#12 Eduardo Nava def. #22 Brandon Holt 2-1 ret.
#3 Stefan Kozlov def. Michael Genender 6-4, 6-4
#5 Michael Mmoh def. #20 John McNally 4-6, 6-4, 6-4
#2 Taylor Fritz def. #13 Dennis Uspensky 6-0, 6-1

Thursday's Quarterfinals
#1 Frances Tiafoe vs. #6 Reilly Opelka
#4 Tommy Paul vs. #7 Alex Rybakov

Friday's Quartefinals
#3 Stefan Kozlov vs. #12 Eduardo Nava
#2 Taylor Fritz vs. #5 Michael Mmoh

Look for Colette Lewis's recap on ZooTennis which I'm sure we'll have all the details from today's Round of 16 matches.

Another 9 seeds got bounced in the back draw as well - scroll all the way to the bottom to see yesterday's scores. 

Breakdown of Final 8

By High School Graduation Class
2015 - 4
2016 - 4

By TRN Stars
Blue Chip - 6
Not Rated - 2

By Home State
California - 2
Florida - 3
Maryland - 2
New Jersey - 1

By College Commitment
Turned Pro - 5
Undecided - 3

By UTR
Low - 14.26 (Nava)
High - 15.23 (Paul)
Avg - 14.70

Below is the google doc with 5th round match-ups in place - it'll probably be easier to view the doc here instead of the chart below.




Boys' 18 Singles
16(2) Taylor Fritz d. (13) Dennis Uspensky6-0; 6-1
16(5) Michael Mmoh d. (20) John McNally4-6; 6-4; 6-4
16(3) Stefan Kozlov d. Michael Genender6-4; 6-4
16(12) Eduardo Nava d. (22) Brandon Holt2-1Ret (inj)
16(7) Alex Rybakov d. Logan Smith6-4; 7-6(5)
16(4) Tommy Paul d. (11) Oliver Crawford7-6(0); 6-2
16(6) Reilly Opelka d. (30) Nathan Perrone6-4; 4-6; 6-3
16(1) Francis Tiafoe d. (10) Nathan Ponwith6-2; 6-2
Consolation:
R4Kyle Seelig d. Jack TurchettaWo (inj)
R4Joshua Ortlip d. Ryan DickersonDef (ns)
R4Eddie Grabill d. Alexander LebedevWo (inj)
R4(25) Liam Caruana d. Charlie SullivanWo (inj)
R4(9) Sam Riffice d. Ben VandixhornDef (ns)
R4Johnathan Small d. Henrik WiersholmWo (inj)
4QBrandon Lam d. Blaine Boyden6-3; 6-4
4QSpencer Richey d. Amit Batta6-4; 7-6(4)
4QKyle Seelig d. Maverick Lin7-5; 6-3
4QJoshua Ortlip d. (31) Jacob Brumm2-6; 6-3; 1-0(6)
4QEddie Grabill d. Christopher Dean6-3; 6-0
4QBrenden Volk d. Nicholas BorchenkoWo (inj)
4QAlexander Knight d. (26) Kalman Boyd4-6; 6-1; 1-0(6)
4Q(16) Zeke Clark d. Nathan Niemiec6-0; 6-1
4QAlex Diaz d. Mwendwa Mbithi6-3; 6-2
4QNathan Brown d. Nathan Griffin6-4; 6-7(2); 1-0(5)
4QCharlie Sullivan d. Davey Roberts7-6(3); 6-3
4QJoseph Haig d. Sean Burnette7-6(4); 6-1
4Q(9) Sam Riffice d. Peter Litsky6-2; 4-6; 1-0(3)
4QJohnathan Small d. David Horneffer6-4; 7-5
4QAlex Phillips d. Tyler Raclin6-2; 6-1
4QAlex Ross d. William Shkrob5-7; 6-2; 1-0(3)

1 comment:

Sam said...

Does anyone else find it slightly arbitrary that it's only considered an upset if the UTR's differ by 1 UTR point? Why not half a point? Why not 2 points?

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